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BROADBAND IN THE LOCAL LOOP: GLOBAL EDITION

A detailed study of the Audio Chip Market

Report No. 3010


Table Of Contents

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • A. Introduction
  • B. Research Methodology

II. MARKET TRENDS

  • A.Global Broadband Perspective
  • B. Historical Perspective: Telecommunications &Cable Television
  • C. Telecommunications Deregulation & Oversupply
  • D. Cable Regulation & Consolidation
  • E. Wireless Frenzy & Distraction
  • F. Decline of Telephone Subscribers & “Cold Copper”
  • G. Upgrading of Cable Systems & Services
  • H. Economic Slow Down, Profit Squeeze & Debt Load
  • I. Global Capital Crunch & Continuing Broadband Investment
  • J. Broadband DSL Subscriber Growth
  • K. Broadband Cable Subscriber Growth
  • L. Broadband DSL Revenue Growth
  • M. Broadband Cable Revenue Growth
  • N. Broadband DSL Service Upgrades
  • O. Broadband Cable Service Upgrades
  • P. DSL Business Service Upgrades
  • Q. Cable Business Service Upgrades
  • R. Wireless Broadband Trends
  • S. Satellite Broadband Trends
  • T. Consumer Perspective
    • 1. Array of Services
    • 2. Data Rate Performance and Quality of Service
    • 3. Tiered Pricing
    • 4. Price Elasticity
    • 5. Personal Embrace of Broadband
    • 6. Is there a Broadband “Killer App?”
  • U. Broadband Forecast Perspective

III. WLAN HISTORY & LATEST STANDARDS

  • A. Fiber Optic Overlay Technology
  • B. Optical Ethernet Technology
  • C. Cable Television Systems Overview
  • D. Broadband Cable Service Standards
    • 1. DOCSIS 1.0
    • 2. DOCSIS 1.1
    • 3. Euro-DOCSIS
    • 4. DOCSIS 2.0
  • E. Other Cable Initiatives
    • 1. OpenCable
    • 2. PacketCable™
    • 3. VoD Metadata and CableHome
  • F. DOCSIS Cable Modem Suppliers
  • G. Euro-DOCSIS Cable Modem Suppliers
  • H. DOCSIS CMTS Suppliers
  • I. Euro-DOCSIS CMTS Suppliers
  • J. Cable Modem and CMTS Silicon Suppliers
    • 1. Broadcom
    • 2. Conexant
    • 3. Imedia Semiconductor
    • 4. Intel
    • 5. ST Microelectronics
    • 6. Texas Instruments
  • K. DSL MODEM TECHNOLOGY
    • 1. Overview of Telephone Systems
    • 2. Traditional Phone Systems
    • 3. Analog Transmission
    • 4. Digital Transmission
    • 5. DSL
    • 6. DSL Modem Standards
      • a) ISDN
      • b) SDSL
      • c) IDSL
      • d) HDSL
      • e) HDSL2
      • f) SDSL
      • g) SHDSL and G.shdsl
      • h) ADSL
      • i) ADSL2 and ADSL2+
      • j) VDSL
    • 7. DSL Modem Suppliers
  • L. DSL Chip Vendors
    • 1. Analog Devices
    • 2. Broadcom
    • 3. Centillium Communications
    • 4. Conexant
    • 5. GlobespanVirata
    • 6. Fujitsu
    • 7. Infineon Technologies
    • 8. Intel
    • 9. LSI Logic
    • 10. MetaLink
    • 11. Samsung Electronics
    • 12. STMicroelectronics
    • 13. Texas Instruments
  • M. Wireless Technology
    • 1. MMDS
    • 2. LMDS
    • 3. Wireless Metropolitan Area Network (WirelessMAN)
    • 4. Wireless LAN (WLAN)
  • N. Satellite Technology

IV. GLOBAL MARKET FORECAST COMMENTARY

  • A. Worldwide Summary

V. NORTH AMERICAN MARKET

  • A. Overview
  • B. Canada
    • 1. DSL Providers
    • 2. Broadband Cable Providers
  • C. United States
    • 1. DSL Providers
    • 2. Broadband Cable Providers
  • D. U. S. Telecom Operators
    • 1. BellSouth
    • 2. Covad
    • 3. Qwest
    • 4. SBC Communications
    • 5. Verizon
    • 6. Other Providers
  • E. U. S. Cable System Operators
    • 1. Adelphia
    • 2. AOL Time Warner
    • 3. AT&T Broadband
    • 4. CableVision
    • 5. Charter Communications
    • 6. Comcast
    • 7. Cox Communications
    • 8. Insight Cable
    • 9. Mediacom
    • 10. RCN
    • 11. UnitedGlobalCom
    • 12. Other Providers

VI. EUROPEAN MARKET

  • A. Summary
  • B. Austria
  • C. Belgium
  • D. Czech Republic
  • E. Denmark
  • F. Estonia
  • G. Finland
  • H. France
  • I. Germany
  • J. Greece
  • K. Hungary
  • L. Iceland
  • M. Ireland
  • N. Italy
  • O. Lithuania
  • P. Luxembourg
  • Q. Malta
  • R. Netherlands
  • S. Norway
  • T. Poland
  • U. Portugal
  • V. Slovenia
  • W. Spain
  • X. Sweden
  • Y. Switzerland
  • Z. United Kingdom
  • AA. Other European Countries

VII. ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET

  • A. Summary
  • B. Australia
  • C. Hong Kong
  • D. Indonesia
  • E. Japan
  • F. New Zealand
  • G. Philippines
  • H. Singapore
  • I. South Korea
  • J. Taiwan

VIII. EUR-ASIA MARKET

  • A. Summary
  • B. China
  • C. India
  • D. Israel
  • E. Russia
  • F. Saudi Arabia
  • G. Thailand
  • H. Turkey
  • I. Other Eur-Asian Countries

IX. LATIN AMERICA MARKET

  • A. Summary
  • B. Argentina
  • C. Brazil
  • D. Chile
  • E. Mexico
  • F. Peru
  • G. Venezuela
  • H. Other Latin American Countries

X. AFRICA MARKET

  • A. Summary
  • B. South Africa
  • C. Other African Countries

XI. GLOBAL SUBSCRIBER FORECAST TABLES

  • A. Overview
  • B. Using Forecast Tables for Additional Analysis
  • C. Forecast Tables by Region
  • D. Subscriber Forecast Tables

XII. EQUIPMENT & CHIP UNIT FORECAST TABLES

XIII. EQUIPMENT & CHIP REVENUE FORECASTS

  • A. Worldwide Summary
  • B. Broadband Subscriber Revenue Forecasts
  • C. DSL Broadband Equipment & Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • D. DSL CPE Modem & CPE Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • E. DSL DSLAM Port Equipment & Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • F. Cable Modem Broadband Equipment & Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • G. Cable CPE Modem and CPE Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • H. Cable CMTS Equipment and Silicon Shipment Forecasts
  • I. Potential Upsides and Downsides to Forecasts

Figures

  • Figure 1 Worldwide DSL & Cable Modem Subscriber Trends, 2000-2006
  • Figure 2 Worldwide Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscriber Shares: 2006
  • Figure 3 North America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscriber Shares: 2006
  • Figure 4 Worldwide Broadband Subscribers by Region: 2006
  • Figure 5 Worldwide Broadband Market Subscriber Revenue: 2002-2006
  • Figure 6 Worldwide Broadband Equipment Market Revenue: 2002-2006
  • Figure 7 Worldwide Broadband Silicon Device Market Revenue: 2002-2006
  • Figure 8 Traditional One-Way Cable Television System
  • Figure 9 Upgraded Two-Way Cable Television System
  • Figure 10 Early Cable Modem Household with PC and TV
  • Figure 11 Modern Cable System with Fiber Optic Overlay to Local Optical Node
  • Figure 12 Modern Cable Household w/ Cable Modem & Digital Cable Converter Box
  • Figure 13 Modern Cable System with Passive Fiber Optic Hub & Ethernet Ring
  • Figure 14 Advanced Fiber to the Curb (FTTC) Cable System
  • Figure 15 Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH), Fiber-To-The-Business (FTTB) Cable System
  • Figure 16 North American Cable System Band Allocation
  • Figure 17 DOCSIS Band Allocation for Individual Cable Modem Operation
  • Figure 18 Typical DOCSIS 1.1 Cable Modem Burst Performance
  • Figure 19 Typical DOCSIS 2.0 Cable Modem Burst Performance
  • Figure 20 Traditional Telephone System
  • Figure 21 Telephone System with T1 Trunks
  • Figure 22 Telephone System with Fiber Optic Nodes
  • Figure 23 Modern Telephone System w/ Legacy Twisted Pairs, Trunk Cables, Remote Concentrators, Optical Nodes, DSL Subscriber & Business Lines
  • Figure 24 Modern Telephone Household with DSL Modem
  • Figure 25 ADSL Band Allocation with ADSL DMT Channels over POTS
  • Figure 26 Typical ADSL Downstream Data Rates over Distance
  • Figure 27 ADSL2 Band Allocation with Channelized DMT Pair for Voice over DSL
  • Figure 28 ADSL2+ Band Allocation with DMT Channels Extending out to 2.2 MHz
  • Figure 29 Typical ADSL2+ Downstream Data Rates over Distance
  • Figure 30 Worldwide Broadband Subscriber Trends, 2000-2006
  • Figure 31 Worldwide Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Shares 2002
  • Figure 32 Worldwide Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Shares 2006
  • Figure 33 Worldwide Broadband Markets by Region 2002
  • Figure 34 Worldwide Broadband Market by Region 2006
  • Figure 35 North America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers, 2000-2006
  • Figure 36 North America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2002
  • Figure 37 North America Broadband DSL & Cable Market Share: 2006
  • Figure 38 Canada Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscriber Trends: 2000-2006
  • Figure 39 United States Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 40 United States DSL Market Share by Operator: 2002
  • Figure 41 United States Cable Modem Market Share by MSO: 2002
  • Figure 42 Europe Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 43 Europe Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2002
  • Figure 44 Europe Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share 2006
  • Figure 45 Austria Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 46 Belgium Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 47 Czech Republic Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 48 Denmark Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 49 Estonia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 50 Finland Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 51 France Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 52 Germany Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 53 Greece Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 54 Hungary Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 55 Iceland Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 56 Ireland Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 57 Italy Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 58 Lithuania Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 59 Luxembourg Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 60 Malta Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 61 Netherlands Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 62 Norway Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 63 Poland Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 64 Portugal Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 65 Slovenia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 66 Spain Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 67 Sweden Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 68 Switzerland Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 69 United Kingdom Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 70 Asia-Pacific Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 71 Asia-Pacific Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2002
  • Figure 72 Asia-Pacific Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2006
  • Figure 73 Australia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 74 Hong Kong Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 75 Indonesia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 76 Japan Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 77 New Zealand Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 78 Philippines Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 79 Singapore Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 80 South Korea Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 81 Taiwan Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 82 Eur-Asia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 83 Eur-Asia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2002
  • Figure 84 Eur-Asia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2006
  • Figure 85 China Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 86 India Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 87 Israel Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 88 Russia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 89 Saudi Arabia Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 90 Thailand Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 91 Turkey Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 92 Latin America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 93 Latin America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2002
  • Figure 94 Latin America Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Market Share: 2006
  • Figure 95 Argentina Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 96 Brazil Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 97 Chile Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 98 Mexico Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 99 Peru Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 100 Venezuela Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 101 Other Latin American BB DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 102 Africa Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 103 South Africa Broadband DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers: 2000-2006
  • Figure 104 Worldwide DSL & Cable Modem Subscribers for 2000 to 2006
  • Figure 105 Worldwide Broadband Subscriber Revenues for 2000 to 2006

Tables

  • Table 1 Traditional Cable System Bandwidth Requirements
  • Table 2 DOCSIS 1.0-Certified Cable Modems
  • Table 3 DOCSIS 1.1- Certified Cable Modems
  • Table 4 Euro-DOCSIS 1.0-Certified Cable Modems
  • Table 5 DOCSIS 1.0-Qualified CMTSs by Vendor
  • Table 6 DOCSIS 1.1-Qualified CMTSs by Vendor
  • Table 7 Euro-DOCSIS 1.0 Qualified CMTSs by Vendor
  • Table 8 DSL Modem Products by Vendor
  • Table 9 DSL Access Network Equipment Vendors
  • Table 10 Worldwide and Regional Subscriber Tables
  • Table 11 North America Market Subscriber Forecasts
  • Table 12 European Market Forecasts (section 1 of 4)
  • Table 13 European Market Forecasts (section 2 of 4)
  • Table 14 European Market Forecasts (section 3 of 4)
  • Table 15 European Market Forecasts (section 4 of 4)
  • Table 16 Asia-Pacific Market Forecasts (section 1 of 2)
  • Table 17 Asia-Pacific Market Forecasts (section 2 of 2)
  • Table 18 Eur-Asia Market Forecasts (section 1 of 2)
  • Table 19 Eur-Asia Market Forecasts (section 2 of 2)
  • Table 20 Latin-America Market Forecasts
  • Table 21 Africa Market Forecasts
  • Table 22 Worldwide DSL & Broadband Cable Subscribers: 2000 -2006
  • Table 23 Worldwide DSL CPEs & Silicon Device Units: 2000-2006
  • Table 24 Worldwide DSLAM Equipment & Silicon Device Channels: 2000-2006
  • Table 25 Worldwide Cable CPEs & Silicon Device Units: 2000-2006
  • Table 26 Worldwide Cable Headend Equipment & Silicon Channels: 2000-2006
  • Table 27 Worldwide Broadband Subscriber Revenues: 2000-2006
  • Table 28 DSL Worldwide Broadband Subscriber Additions: 2002-2006
  • Table 29 DSL CPE Modem Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 30 DSL CPE Modem Silicon Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 31 DSL DSLAM Port Equipment Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 32 DSL DSLAM Port Silicon Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 33 Cable Worldwide Broadband Subscriber Additions: 2002-2006
  • Table 34 Cable CPE Modem Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 35 Cable CPE Modem Silicon Worldwide Shipments for 2002 to 2006
  • Table 36 CMTS 1 x 4 Blade Worldwide Shipments: 2002-2006
  • Table 37 CMTS 1 x 4 Silicon Chipset Shipments: 2002-2006


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